Factors that determine the persistence and dropout of university students
- Joana R. Casanova 1
- Antonio Cervero 2
- José Carlos Núñez 2
- Leandro S. Almeida 1
- Ana Bernardo 2
-
1
Universidade do Minho
info
-
2
Universidad de Oviedo
info
ISSN: 0214-9915
Año de publicación: 2018
Volumen: 30
Número: 4
Páginas: 408-414
Tipo: Artículo
Otras publicaciones en: Psicothema
Resumen
Background: The increase of students in higher education means a more heterogeneous student body, complicating the identification of the variables that influence students´ decisions to stay in or drop out of university. The objective of this study is to analyze the influence of these variables on students’ decisions by establishing specific groups of students based on performance. Method: A study was carried out with 2,970 first-year university students from Portugal, using the decision tree technique. Results: Academic performance is confirmed as a determining variable in the decision to remain or drop out, allowing us to establish three groups (high, medium and low achievement), in which different types of variables act as mediators: sex, type of course (licenciatura [BA] or mestrado integrado), the fact of studying at the students’ first-choice university or the mother’s educational level. Conclusions: Without neglecting the weight of academic achievement as a priority variable, we must consider these secondary variables in the configuration of student groups in order to plan support policies to avoid higher-risk students dropping out.
Información de financiación
Antonio Cervero Fernández-Castañón received funding from the Severo Ochoa Program of the Government of the Princedom of Asturias as a Doctoral Grant, under grant agreement number BP16014.Financiadores
-
Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
Portugal
- SFRH/BD/117902/2016
-
- BP16014
Referencias bibliográficas
- Aina, C. (2013). Parental background and university dropout in Italy. Higher Education, 65(4), 437-456. doi:10.1007/s10734-012-9554-z
- Alon, S. (2011). Who benefits most from financial aid? The heterogeneous effect of need-based grants on students’ college persistence. Social Science Quarterly, 92(3), 807-829. doi:10.1111/j.15406237.2011.00793.x
- Alonso, J., & Román, J. M. (2005). Prácticas educativas familiares y autoestima [Family educational practices and self-esteem]. Psicothema, 17(1), 76-82.
- Alves, A. F., Lemos, G. C., Brito, L., Martins, A. A., & Almeida, L. S. (2016). Desempenho cognitivo na infância: A mãe e o meio urbano fazem a diferença [Cognitive performance in childhood: The mother and the urban environment make a difference]. Psicologia: Teoria e Pesquisa, 32(3), 1-9. doi:10.1590/0102-3772e323217
- Amado-Tavares, D., Marinho-Araújo, C., Almeida, L., & Amaral, A. (2011). Democratization of access and success in Higher Education: A reflection on the realities of Portugal and Brazil. Higher Education Management and Policy, 23(1), 23-42.
- Araque, F., Roldán, C., & Salguero, A. (2009). Factors influencing university dropout rates. Computers & Education, 53(3), 563-574. doi:10.1016/j.compedu.2009.03.013
- Belloc, F., Maruotti, A., & Petrella, L. (2011). How individual characteristics affect university students drop-out: A semi-parametric mixed-effects model for an Italian case study. Journal of Applied Statistics, 38(10), 2225-2239. doi:10.1080/02664763.2010.545373
- Berlanga, V. S., Rubio, M. J. H., & Vilà, R. B. (2013). Cómo aplicar árboles de decisión en SPSS [How to apply decision trees on SPSS]. REIRE. Revista d’Innovación i Recerca en Educación, 6(1), 65-79. doi:10.1344/ reire2013.6.1615
- Bernardo, A. B., Cervero, A., Esteban, M., Tuero, E., Casanova, J. R., & Almeida, L. S. (2017). Freshmen program withdrawal: Types and recommendations. Frontiers in Psychology, 8, 1-12. doi:10.3389/fpsyg.2017.01544
- Bernardo, A., Esteban, M., González-Pienda, J. A., Núñez, J. C., & Dobarro, A. (2017). University dropout: Definition, features and prevention measures. In J. A. González-Pienda, A. Bernardo, J. C. Núñez & C. Rodríguez (Eds.), Factors affecting academic performance (pp. 239260). New York: NY: Nova Science.
- Cerezo, R., Bernardo, A. B., Esteban, G. M., Sánchez, M., & Tuero, E. (2015). Programas para la promoción de la autorregulación en educación superior: un estudio de la satisfacción diferencial entre metodología presencial y virtual [Programs for promoting self-regulated learning in higher education: A study of the satisfaction between in-person and virtual methods]. European Journal of Education and Psychology, 8(1), 30-36.
- Chen, R. (2012). Institutional characteristics and college student dropout risks: A multilevel event history analysis. Research in Higher Education, 53(5), 487-505.
- Crosling, G., Heagney, M., & Thomas, L. (2009). Improving student retention in Higher Education: Improving teaching and learning. Australian Universities’ Review, 51(2), 9-18.
- Davis-Kean, P. E. (2005). The influence of parent education and family income on child achievement: The indirect role of parental expectations and the home environment. Journal of Family Psychology, 19(2), 294304. doi:10.1037/0893-3200.19.2.294
- Diniz, A. M., Alfonso, S., Araújo, A. M., Deaño, M. D., Costa, A. R., Conde, Â., & Almeida, L. S. (2018). Gender differences in first-year college students’ academic expectations. Studies in Higher Education, 43(4), 689-701. doi:10.1080/03075079.2016.1196350
- Diseth, A. (2011). Self-efficacy, goal orientations and learning strategies as mediators between preceding and subsequent academic achievement. Learning and Individual Differences, 21(2), 191-195. doi:10.1016/j. lindif.2011.01.003
- Esteban, G. M., Bernardo, A. B., & Rodríguez-Muñiz, L. J. (2016). Permanencia en la universidad: la importancia de un buen comienzo [Persistence in university studies: The importance of a good start]. Aula Abierta, 44(1), 1-6. doi:10.1016/j.aula.2015.04.001
- Finkel, L., & Barañano, M. (2014). La dedicación al estudio y al trabajo de los estudiantes universitarios en España [Dedication to study and work in Spanish university students]. Revista de la Asociación de Sociología de la Educación, 7, 82-103.
- Gairín, J., Triado, X. M., Feixas, M., Figuera, P., Aparicio-Chueca, P., & Torrado, M. (2014). Student dropout rates in Catalan universities: Profile and motives for disengagement. Quality in Higher Education, 20(2), 165-182. doi:10.1080/13538322.2014.925230
- Gury, N. (2011). Dropping out of higher education in France: A microeconomic approach using survival analysis. Education Economics, 19(1), 51-64.
- Gutman, L. M., Sameroff, A. J., & Cole, R. (2003). Academic growth curve trajectories from 1st grade to 12th grade: Effects of multiple social risk factors and preschool child factors. Developmental Psychology, 39(4), 777-790. doi:10.1037/0012-1649.39.4.777
- Hailikari, T., Nevgi, A., & Komulainen, E. (2008). Academic self-beliefs and prior knowledge as predictors of student achievement in Mathematics: A structural model. Educational Psychology, 28(1), 5971. doi:10.1080/01443410701413753
- Hernández, A., Aguilar, C., Paradell, E., Muñoz, M. R., Vannier, L.-C., & Vallar, F. (2017). The effect of demographic variables on the assessment of cognitive ability. Psicothema, 29(4), 469-474. doi:10.7334/psicothema2017.33
- Heublein, U. (2014). Student drop-out from German Higher Education institutions. European Journal of Education, 49(4), 497-513. doi:10.1111/ejed.12097
- Kinser, K., & Deitchman, J. (2007). Tenacious persisters: Returning adult students in Higher Education. Journal of College Student Retention: Research, Theory & Practice, 9(1), 75-94. doi:10.2190/W143-56H06181-7670
- McNabb, R., Pal, S., & Sloane, P. (2002). Gender differences in educational attainment: The case of university students in England and Wales. Economica, 69, 481-503. doi:10.1111/1468-0335.00295
- Okun, M. A., Goegan, B., & Mitric, N. (2009). Quality of alternatives, institutional preference, and institutional commitment among first year college students. Educational Psychology, 29(4), 371-383. doi:10.1080/01443410902957079
- Oriol, X., Mendonza, M., Covarrubias, C. G., & Molina, V. M. (2017). Positive emotions, autonomy support and academic performance of university students: The mediating role of academic engagement and self-effi cacy. Revista de Psicodidáctica, 22(1), 45-53. doi:10.1387/ RevPsicodidact.14280
- Páramo, F. M. F., Araújo, A., Vacas, C. T., Almeida, L. S., & González, M. S. (2017). Predictors of students’ adjustment during transition to university in Spain. Psicothema, 29(1), 67-72. doi:10.7334/psicothema2016.40
- Porto, A. M. S., & Soares, A. B. (2017). Diferenças entre expectativas e adaptação acadêmica de universitários de diversas áreas do conhecimento [Differences between expectations and academic adaptation of university students from different areas of knowledge]. Análise Psicológica, 35(1), 13-24. doi:10.14417/ap.1170
- Rosário, P., Pereira, A., Núñez, J. C., Cunha, J., Fuentes, S., Polydoro, S., & Fernández, E. (2014). An explanatory model of the intention to continue studying among nontraditional university students. Psicothema, 26(1), 84-90. doi:10.7334/psicothema2013.176
- Stinebrickner, R., & Stinebrickner, T. (2014). A major in Science? Initial beliefs and fi nal outcomes for college major and dropout. Review of Economic Studies, 81(1), 426-472.
- Stratton, L. S., O’Toole, D. M., & Wetzel, J. N. (2008). A multinomial logit model of college stopout and dropout behavior. Economics of Education Review, 27(3), 319-331. doi:10.1016/j.econedurev.2007.04.003
- Tinto, V. (2010). From theory to action: Exploring the institutional conditions for student retention. In J. C. Smart (Ed.), Higher Education: Handbook of Theory and Research (Vol. 25, pp. 51-89). The Netherlands: Springer. doi:10.1007/978-90-481-8598-6_2
- Umek, L. M., Podlesek, A., & Fekonja, U. (2005). Assessing the home literacy environment. European Journal of Psychological Assessment, 21(4), 271-281. doi:10.1027/1015-5759.21.4.271
- Vera, C. M., Morales, C. R., & Soto, S. V. (2012). Predicción del fracaso escolar mediante técnicas de Minería de Datos [Predicting of school failure using data mining techniques]. Iee-Rita, 7(3), 109-117.
- Vries, W., León, P. A., Romero, J. M., & Hernández, I. H. (2011). ¿Desertores o decepcionados? Distintas causas para abandonar los estudios universitarios [Deserter or disappointed? Different causes for higher education dropout]. Revista de la Educación Superior, XL(4) (160), 29-49. doi:0185-2760
- Yasmin, Dr. (2013). Application of the classification tree model in predicting learner dropout behaviour in open and distance learning. Distance Education, 34(2), 218-231. doi:10.1080/01587919.2013.793642